RobLupella wrote:
The car is brand new and their only win came via fuel mileage not speed. Previously, the cars had broke so it was hard to tell how much speed they really had. The biggest thing is that the cars were made for LeMans and to perform there, not at other tracks since that is the high profile win.
The cars are new, so they did have reliability issues at first. And that initial win was on strategy/fuel mileage. It also wasn't smooth sailing on LeMans with respect to reliability either. But even with early reliability problems, the speed of the car was evident based upon various evidence (i.e. string together ideal sector times). So people speculated the car would do well either in the race or in qualifying (if Ford decided to show their hand during qualifying). If the cars would last until the end was always an open question that couldn't be answered until raceday. Ford did show their hand in qualifying (good PR for starting up front), but it was so strong the ACO made the token BoP tweak because the gap was huge. The first six GTE positions after qualifying were...
1. Ford
2. Ford
3. Ferrari
4. Ford
5. Ford
6. Ferrari
Approx 1.5 seconds covered that group. Everyone else (Porsche, Aston Martin and Corvette) were between approx 2-6 seconds off the pace. Most everyone except Ford and Ferrari matched their pre-race testing times (those times would have driven race day BoP changes). There is no real reason for Ford and Ferrari to pickup the pace that much other than if they had sandbagged during testing (which is a strategy that can work, if just for a short period of time). That just can't show up with a new motor after testing that is better. These are homologated engines.
The FIA and ACO also have a history of getting BoP for GTE wrong and having to adjust it frequently. Additionally, given that they are balancing the performance of all the cars, they tend to have to pick one as being the target and then bring the others up/down to meet that target. If I remember correctly there was a feeling that the prior Ferrari GTE car (not the current turbo) was considered to be the benchmark (it was inherently quick). The current Porsche GTE is long in the tooth and there has been little incentive for the rule makers to gift Porsche parity. Porsche is rumored to be bringing an all new mid-engine car in the next year to so to GTE to compete against the Ferrari (and now Ford)). They tend to support the manufactures that are bring newer cars. So that is why recently it seemed Aston Martin could do no wrong in the BoP game. There is also a theory that the turbo cars is the direction that the FIA/ACO wants things to go. So someone like Corvette who likely will always run a large NA V8 might be screwed.
Richard
PS: In the race, at the end, in GTE class, there were two Ford's and one Ferrari on the lead lap, an Aston Martin two laps back and the best Corvette about four laps back. Porsche had lots of mechanical issues but they probably would have been inbetween the Aston Martin and Corvette.
PPS: I hope I don't sound too negative on the Ford. Kudos to them for getting that win so quickly. The car is fast and looks good.
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Richard Casto
1972 Porsche 914
2013 Honda Fit Sport
2015 Honda Fit EX
http://motorsport.zyyz.comMoney can't buy happiness, but somehow it's more comfortable to cry in a Porsche than a Kia.