Holy zombie thread resurrection, Batman!
So, apparently it makes me forever to act on anything.
I finally gave in. The WRX has been fine--paid off, low property taxes, decent insurance rates etc but it was getting long in the tooth now at 7 years old (but only 62000 miles) The paint was starting to act funky (despite reasonable attempts at consistent wash and wax), the boost gauge light went out, and most recently the AC got sketchy and quit during a couple of really hot days. Added to the fact that the interior was bargain basement and the stereo sucked, I knew that a new-to-me car for my (increasing longer) commute was coming. On a whim I found a reasonably priced ES300h at carMax and took it for a drive. Nice car, quiet (60-65dB at 70mph... vs 82 in the WRX and 86 in the S2000), soooooper nice interior and great stereo. 40 mpg on regular gas (vs 23 with premium on the WRX).
Got my CarMax trade-in offer of $14000 for the WRX. Seven year old car had lost only 40% of value, and the trade-in was very close to what similar prices I had seen being offered as sale prices on local 2008-2010 WRXes.
Found a different car (1-owner 11k miles) in Dulles and had it transferred down. Smooth process. Drove it, liked it, bought it. 45 minutes later all the paperwork was done.
Searching Kbb et al and the local market I noticed that in comparing hybrid vs standard models (ES300h, Avalon hybrid and Camry hybrid) showed no real price difference when controlling for mileage and car condition; it appears the hybrids lost their premium very quickly. My car was equivalently priced to numerous other non-hybrid examples within a 500 mile radius. It was more expensive than those with 30-40k, but of the 4 I checked out the reasons were obvious--one had no service history (big red flag as Lexus provides free service for first 2 years and should be visible on Lexus service database), one had a prior accident (on Carfax but not reported on CarMax Autocheck), and two had a pretty neglected interior (hole in carpet from high heels, scraped seat backs, worn seat bolsters etc) Hard to say if this is the effect of tax savings, low oil prices pushing down demand for hybrids or just normal market mechanics...but it was smart not to pay the premium for a new hybrid car, even with the tax incentives.
So if you see a gray metallic ES hybrid poking along in the right hand lane, that's me trying to stay in ECO mode. Don't judge

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Steve Carter
1972 Datsun 240Z-- resto pics at
http://picasaweb.google.com/srcartermd2007 GPW Honda S2000-- STR 86